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July 06, 2005

Gregory Djerejian's Best Case Scenario On Iraq

Gregory Dejerejian at the highly recommended The Belgravia Dispatch offers what he calls "the best case scenario" that could lead to "Sunni nationalist extremists, Baathist restorationists, and assorted fundamentalists/jihadists" becoming "increasingly marginalized" in U.S. occupied Iraq. My opinion is that:

Since the U.S. invasion of Iraq created the situation that resulted in the climate Mr. Dejerejian blames on the aforementioned elements, the best case scenario would be a U.S. withdrawal. And while a withdrawal won't totally solve Iraq's problems, at least it would give internal elements a better opportunity to solve their differences. Admittedly, this may result in more fighting--they are fighting each other anyway-- at least a powerful third party won't be directly involved. Under this circumstance, perhaps the non-Iraqi Muslim fighters could be persuaded or forced to leave.
The bottom line is that as long as the U.S. is in Iraq, foreign Muslims fighters will not leave. In fact, more will make their way to Iraq.

See "Some Good News..." for Mr. Dejerejian's analysis.

Posted by Munir Umrani at July 6, 2005 12:15 PM

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