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February 18, 2006
What Conundrum? Hamas Won Fair and Square
The Belgravia Dispatch's Gregory Djerejian opines in a February 17, 2006 post on "The Hamas Conundrum" that, No one in Washington DC officialdom appeared to predict the political earthquake that occurred in the West Bank and Gaza now several weeks back. The conventional wisdom was that Hamas was going to put in a good show, maybe creeping into the mid-40s% (which they actually did, but more on why that analysis missed the point below), but that the Fatah old guard would carry the day. But the CW was wrong, of course, as we all now know.
Djerejian explains why they were wrong. The question is will Israel and the U.S. let the results stand or attempt to overthrow Hamas. Hopefully, common sense will prevail and policy makers will remember the 1991 National Assembly elections in Algeria and what happened after the military cancelled them when it became obvious that so-called Islamist would win. A vicious civil war ensued.
Posted by Munir Umrani at February 18, 2006 05:56 PM
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